Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a modest cooling trend for Wuhan by August 11, with daytime maxima most likely settling between 27–29 °C amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon circulation. Surface observations from the preceding days show highs near 32–35 °C under clearer, more stable conditions, but incoming mid-level moisture and weak southerly flow are expected to enhance convective inhibition of strong daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 33 °C, so the current market-implied distribution around 28 °C aligns with traders weighting the latest guidance for localized cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日武漢氣溫最高？
8月11日武漢氣溫最高？
28°C 27%
29°C 22%
27°C 18%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
18%
28°C
27%
29°C
22%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 27%
29°C 22%
27°C 18%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
23°C or below
$205 交易量
<1%
24°C
$205 交易量
1%
25°C
$5 交易量
2%
26°C
$3 交易量
7%
27°C
$27 交易量
18%
28°C
$761 交易量
27%
29°C
$172 交易量
22%
30°C
$123 交易量
12%
31°C
$50 交易量
3%
32°C
$5 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$135 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a modest cooling trend for Wuhan by August 11, with daytime maxima most likely settling between 27–29 °C amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon circulation. Surface observations from the preceding days show highs near 32–35 °C under clearer, more stable conditions, but incoming mid-level moisture and weak southerly flow are expected to enhance convective inhibition of strong daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 33 °C, so the current market-implied distribution around 28 °C aligns with traders weighting the latest guidance for localized cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$1,692結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a modest cooling trend for Wuhan by August 11, with daytime maxima most likely settling between 27–29 °C amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon circulation. Surface observations from the preceding days show highs near 32–35 °C under clearer, more stable conditions, but incoming mid-level moisture and weak southerly flow are expected to enhance convective inhibition of strong daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 33 °C, so the current market-implied distribution around 28 °C aligns with traders weighting the latest guidance for localized cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,692結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate a modest cooling trend for Wuhan by August 11, with daytime maxima most likely settling between 27–29 °C amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon circulation. Surface observations from the preceding days show highs near 32–35 °C under clearer, more stable conditions, but incoming mid-level moisture and weak southerly flow are expected to enhance convective inhibition of strong daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 33 °C, so the current market-implied distribution around 28 °C aligns with traders weighting the latest guidance for localized cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions