Official forecasts from agencies including Roshydromet and international models show Moscow under stable high-pressure conditions on August 11, with daytime heating expected to produce a maximum of 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with ensemble guidance and recent observational trends for early-to-mid August, when average highs hover near 22°C but can reach the mid-20s under clear or partly cloudy setups without significant advection of cooler air. The market's 100% consensus on 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time station data tracking toward that threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if rapid changes in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal passage develop in the final hours, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日莫斯科最高溫度?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,383 交易量
$50,383 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,383 交易量
$50,383 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from agencies including Roshydromet and international models show Moscow under stable high-pressure conditions on August 11, with daytime heating expected to produce a maximum of 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with ensemble guidance and recent observational trends for early-to-mid August, when average highs hover near 22°C but can reach the mid-20s under clear or partly cloudy setups without significant advection of cooler air. The market's 100% consensus on 26°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time station data tracking toward that threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if rapid changes in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal passage develop in the final hours, potentially capping the high 1–2°C lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions