Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty that Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 11 will reach 20°C, driven by South African Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting a daytime peak of exactly 20°C after morning cloud clears under moderate south-easterly winds. A recent cold front has established cool, stable conditions consistent with August climatology, where average highs hover near 18°C; the current setup favors a modest rebound to the forecast threshold without exceeding it. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud or a shift in wind direction that caps readings below 20°C or allows brief warming above it before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月11日的最高溫度？
開普敦8月11日的最高溫度？
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,724 交易量
$64,724 交易量
2026-08-11
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,724 交易量
$64,724 交易量
2026-08-11
15°C或以下
$696 交易量
否
16°C
$4,392 交易量
否
17°C
$5,122 交易量
否
18°C
$7,780 交易量
否
19°C
$12,020 交易量
否
20°C
$11,505 交易量
是
21°C
$7,186 交易量
否
22°C
$5,019 交易量
否
23°C
$5,309 交易量
否
24°C
$4,403 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$1,292 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty that Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 11 will reach 20°C, driven by South African Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting a daytime peak of exactly 20°C after morning cloud clears under moderate south-easterly winds. A recent cold front has established cool, stable conditions consistent with August climatology, where average highs hover near 18°C; the current setup favors a modest rebound to the forecast threshold without exceeding it. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud or a shift in wind direction that caps readings below 20°C or allows brief warming above it before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$64,724結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty that Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 11 will reach 20°C, driven by South African Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting a daytime peak of exactly 20°C after morning cloud clears under moderate south-easterly winds. A recent cold front has established cool, stable conditions consistent with August climatology, where average highs hover near 18°C; the current setup favors a modest rebound to the forecast threshold without exceeding it. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud or a shift in wind direction that caps readings below 20°C or allows brief warming above it before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$64,724結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty that Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 11 will reach 20°C, driven by South African Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting a daytime peak of exactly 20°C after morning cloud clears under moderate south-easterly winds. A recent cold front has established cool, stable conditions consistent with August climatology, where average highs hover near 18°C; the current setup favors a modest rebound to the forecast threshold without exceeding it. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud or a shift in wind direction that caps readings below 20°C or allows brief warming above it before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions