Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 29–31°C for Qingdao on August 15, with light rain or isolated thunderstorms and moderate northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 30°C (34%) and 31°C (29%) implied probabilities, centers on these outcomes because short-range model guidance shows sensitivity to cloud cover timing, sea-breeze strength from the Yellow Sea, and exact diurnal maximum. Coastal location and seasonal monsoon patterns typically cap extremes near the August average of 28–30°C, while any brief clearing could push readings one degree higher at official stations. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 15th will likely refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日青島氣溫最高？
8月15日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 34%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
30%
32°C
11%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
25°C或以下
$185 交易量
1%
26°C
$89 交易量
1%
27°C
$87 交易量
2%
28°C
$275 交易量
8%
29°C
$191 交易量
18%
30°C
$220 交易量
34%
31°C
$306 交易量
30%
32°C
$656 交易量
11%
33°C
$135 交易量
1%
34°C
$220 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 29–31°C for Qingdao on August 15, with light rain or isolated thunderstorms and moderate northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 30°C (34%) and 31°C (29%) implied probabilities, centers on these outcomes because short-range model guidance shows sensitivity to cloud cover timing, sea-breeze strength from the Yellow Sea, and exact diurnal maximum. Coastal location and seasonal monsoon patterns typically cap extremes near the August average of 28–30°C, while any brief clearing could push readings one degree higher at official stations. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 15th will likely refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,516結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 29–31°C for Qingdao on August 15, with light rain or isolated thunderstorms and moderate northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 30°C (34%) and 31°C (29%) implied probabilities, centers on these outcomes because short-range model guidance shows sensitivity to cloud cover timing, sea-breeze strength from the Yellow Sea, and exact diurnal maximum. Coastal location and seasonal monsoon patterns typically cap extremes near the August average of 28–30°C, while any brief clearing could push readings one degree higher at official stations. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 15th will likely refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,516結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 29–31°C for Qingdao on August 15, with light rain or isolated thunderstorms and moderate northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 30°C (34%) and 31°C (29%) implied probabilities, centers on these outcomes because short-range model guidance shows sensitivity to cloud cover timing, sea-breeze strength from the Yellow Sea, and exact diurnal maximum. Coastal location and seasonal monsoon patterns typically cap extremes near the August average of 28–30°C, while any brief clearing could push readings one degree higher at official stations. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 15th will likely refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions