Official Met Office station data and provisional observations confirmed a maximum of 34°C in London on August 14, 2026, under persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air that produced clear skies and strong solar heating across southeast England. This outcome aligns with model consensus for afternoon peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms, exceeding August climatological averages by roughly 8–10°C while remaining below the more intense heat recorded earlier in the week. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 34°C once verified readings eliminated uncertainty around exact station maxima. Minor revisions in post-analysis quality control or boundary-layer adjustments represent the only realistic pathways that could alter the resolved value.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$138,926 交易量
$138,926 交易量
2026-08-14
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$138,926 交易量
$138,926 交易量
2026-08-14
29°C or below
$3,100 交易量
No
30°C
$5,259 交易量
No
31°C
$17,998 交易量
No
32°C
$17,544 交易量
No
33°C
$23,627 交易量
No
34°C
$26,482 交易量
Yes
35°C
$30,076 交易量
No
36°C
$11,863 交易量
No
37°C
$1,151 交易量
No
38°C
$760 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,066 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office station data and provisional observations confirmed a maximum of 34°C in London on August 14, 2026, under persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air that produced clear skies and strong solar heating across southeast England. This outcome aligns with model consensus for afternoon peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms, exceeding August climatological averages by roughly 8–10°C while remaining below the more intense heat recorded earlier in the week. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 34°C once verified readings eliminated uncertainty around exact station maxima. Minor revisions in post-analysis quality control or boundary-layer adjustments represent the only realistic pathways that could alter the resolved value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$138,926結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office station data and provisional observations confirmed a maximum of 34°C in London on August 14, 2026, under persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air that produced clear skies and strong solar heating across southeast England. This outcome aligns with model consensus for afternoon peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms, exceeding August climatological averages by roughly 8–10°C while remaining below the more intense heat recorded earlier in the week. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 34°C once verified readings eliminated uncertainty around exact station maxima. Minor revisions in post-analysis quality control or boundary-layer adjustments represent the only realistic pathways that could alter the resolved value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$138,926結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office station data and provisional observations confirmed a maximum of 34°C in London on August 14, 2026, under persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air that produced clear skies and strong solar heating across southeast England. This outcome aligns with model consensus for afternoon peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms, exceeding August climatological averages by roughly 8–10°C while remaining below the more intense heat recorded earlier in the week. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 34°C once verified readings eliminated uncertainty around exact station maxima. Minor revisions in post-analysis quality control or boundary-layer adjustments represent the only realistic pathways that could alter the resolved value.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions