Active southwest monsoon conditions over northern India are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on August 17 through persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from multiple agencies converge on highs of 29–30 °C under overcast skies with high humidity and light-to-moderate rainfall, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes and reduced odds for 31 °C or above. Model differences in the exact timing and intensity of thundershowers introduce the main uncertainty, while historical August averages near 32 °C provide context for the current below-normal expectation. Traders are weighting the latest 24–48 hour guidance showing continued monsoon activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
8月17日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
17%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
24°C or below
$18 交易量
<1%
25°C
$151 交易量
1%
26°C
$77 交易量
3%
27°C
$277 交易量
6%
28°C
$174 交易量
15%
29°C
$367 交易量
27%
30°C
$31 交易量
30%
31°C
$320 交易量
17%
32°C
$238 交易量
6%
33°C
$61 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$35 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over northern India are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on August 17 through persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from multiple agencies converge on highs of 29–30 °C under overcast skies with high humidity and light-to-moderate rainfall, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes and reduced odds for 31 °C or above. Model differences in the exact timing and intensity of thundershowers introduce the main uncertainty, while historical August averages near 32 °C provide context for the current below-normal expectation. Traders are weighting the latest 24–48 hour guidance showing continued monsoon activity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,749結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over northern India are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on August 17 through persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from multiple agencies converge on highs of 29–30 °C under overcast skies with high humidity and light-to-moderate rainfall, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes and reduced odds for 31 °C or above. Model differences in the exact timing and intensity of thundershowers introduce the main uncertainty, while historical August averages near 32 °C provide context for the current below-normal expectation. Traders are weighting the latest 24–48 hour guidance showing continued monsoon activity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,749結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETActive southwest monsoon conditions over northern India are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on August 17 through persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from multiple agencies converge on highs of 29–30 °C under overcast skies with high humidity and light-to-moderate rainfall, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes and reduced odds for 31 °C or above. Model differences in the exact timing and intensity of thundershowers introduce the main uncertainty, while historical August averages near 32 °C provide context for the current below-normal expectation. Traders are weighting the latest 24–48 hour guidance showing continued monsoon activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions