Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the Indian monsoon show persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers expected over Lucknow on August 16, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 30–32 °C. High humidity and rainfall reduce the diurnal temperature range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August in Uttar Pradesh. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of any low-pressure system or monsoon surge, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31 °C (37.5 %) and 32 °C (32.5 %). Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the Indian monsoon show persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers expected over Lucknow on August 16, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 30–32 °C. High humidity and rainfall reduce the diurnal temperature range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August in Uttar Pradesh. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of any low-pressure system or monsoon surge, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31 °C (37.5 %) and 32 °C (32.5 %). Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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