Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
8月15日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
35%
34°C
36%
35°C
15%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
28°C or below
$717 交易量
<1%
29°C
$903 交易量
1%
30°C
$104 交易量
1%
31°C
$173 交易量
3%
32°C
$447 交易量
10%
33°C
$1,037 交易量
35%
34°C
$1,791 交易量
36%
35°C
$786 交易量
15%
36°C
$312 交易量
4%
37°C
$111 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$247 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,628結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,628結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETActive southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions