Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 17, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 105°F amid an active heat advisory, directly supporting trader consensus around the 104-105°F bin at 49.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability under persistent high pressure, with prior days posting highs of 100-101°F and dew points sustaining heat indices above 100°F. Key resolution hinges on the official DFW airport observation, where small steering or mixing differences could shift the peak into the adjacent 102-103°F range (32.5%). Historical August climatology in North Texas rarely exceeds 106°F this late in the month, keeping higher bins below 15% combined.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日達拉斯的最高溫度?
104-105°F 47%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 11%
100-101°F 5%
$16,277 交易量
$16,277 交易量
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
11%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 47%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 11%
100-101°F 5%
$16,277 交易量
$16,277 交易量
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
11%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 17, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 105°F amid an active heat advisory, directly supporting trader consensus around the 104-105°F bin at 49.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability under persistent high pressure, with prior days posting highs of 100-101°F and dew points sustaining heat indices above 100°F. Key resolution hinges on the official DFW airport observation, where small steering or mixing differences could shift the peak into the adjacent 102-103°F range (32.5%). Historical August climatology in North Texas rarely exceeds 106°F this late in the month, keeping higher bins below 15% combined.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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