Seattle's highest temperature on August 16 hinges on the strength of onshore flow and marine layer intrusion from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon highs near the climatological average of 77°F. Recent model consensus from NOAA and local analyses points to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, limiting radiative heating and holding the daily maximum in the mid-70s at Sea-Tac Airport, the official measurement site. Subtle differences among 74–79°F bins reflect uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; stronger marine push favors the 74–77°F range now leading market-implied odds, while any delayed stratus clearing could briefly allow 78–79°F. Historical analogs show August peaks rarely exceed 80°F without a pronounced offshore ridge, a pattern absent in current 500 mb analyses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月16日西雅圖的最高溫度？
76-77°F 29%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 17%
78-79°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 29%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 17%
78-79°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
71°F or below
$507 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$697 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$90 交易量
29%
76-77°F
$420 交易量
29%
78-79°F
$751 交易量
13%
80-81°F
$49 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$220 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$506 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$12 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$330 交易量
<1%
90°F or higher
$315 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's highest temperature on August 16 hinges on the strength of onshore flow and marine layer intrusion from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon highs near the climatological average of 77°F. Recent model consensus from NOAA and local analyses points to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, limiting radiative heating and holding the daily maximum in the mid-70s at Sea-Tac Airport, the official measurement site. Subtle differences among 74–79°F bins reflect uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; stronger marine push favors the 74–77°F range now leading market-implied odds, while any delayed stratus clearing could briefly allow 78–79°F. Historical analogs show August peaks rarely exceed 80°F without a pronounced offshore ridge, a pattern absent in current 500 mb analyses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$3,897結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's highest temperature on August 16 hinges on the strength of onshore flow and marine layer intrusion from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon highs near the climatological average of 77°F. Recent model consensus from NOAA and local analyses points to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, limiting radiative heating and holding the daily maximum in the mid-70s at Sea-Tac Airport, the official measurement site. Subtle differences among 74–79°F bins reflect uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; stronger marine push favors the 74–77°F range now leading market-implied odds, while any delayed stratus clearing could briefly allow 78–79°F. Historical analogs show August peaks rarely exceed 80°F without a pronounced offshore ridge, a pattern absent in current 500 mb analyses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,897結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETSeattle's highest temperature on August 16 hinges on the strength of onshore flow and marine layer intrusion from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon highs near the climatological average of 77°F. Recent model consensus from NOAA and local analyses points to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, limiting radiative heating and holding the daily maximum in the mid-70s at Sea-Tac Airport, the official measurement site. Subtle differences among 74–79°F bins reflect uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; stronger marine push favors the 74–77°F range now leading market-implied odds, while any delayed stratus clearing could briefly allow 78–79°F. Historical analogs show August peaks rarely exceed 80°F without a pronounced offshore ridge, a pattern absent in current 500 mb analyses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions