**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月16日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
100-101°F 55%
102-103°F 33%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
102-103°F 33%
104-105°F 7%
98-99°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
93°F or below
$343 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$227 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$800 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$931 交易量
6%
100-101°F
$912 交易量
55%
102-103°F
$1,245 交易量
33%
104-105°F
$376 交易量
7%
106-107°F
$490 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$291 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$1,482 交易量
<1%
112°F or higher
$288 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$7,386結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,386結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a high near 101°F for Austin on August 16 under typical mid-August conditions of high pressure, clear to mostly sunny skies, and light south-southeast winds.** This aligns with Austin’s climatological peak heat period, when average highs reach 99°F and daily maxima commonly enter the low 100s. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 100–101°F (56%) and 102–103°F (34%), while the smaller probabilities for 104–105°F or lower reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns. Official observations and heat-index values near 107°F further reinforce trader focus on the low-100s range without evidence of an extreme outlier event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions