Strong high-pressure ridging and southerly Gulf flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 96–97 °F on August 16. This setup favors strong daytime heating while modest sea-breeze moderation and any isolated afternoon convection keep the probability of exceeding 98 °F low. Historical August climatology at Houston Intercontinental shows daily highs averaging 93–95 °F, providing context for why the 94–97 °F bins dominate trader consensus. Latest model runs remain consistent with little change in steering or moisture profiles through the afternoon, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 96–97 °F outcome at 54.5 % implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日休斯敦的最高溫度?
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 22%
98-99°F 20%
92-93°F 4%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 22%
98-99°F 20%
92-93°F 4%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong high-pressure ridging and southerly Gulf flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 96–97 °F on August 16. This setup favors strong daytime heating while modest sea-breeze moderation and any isolated afternoon convection keep the probability of exceeding 98 °F low. Historical August climatology at Houston Intercontinental shows daily highs averaging 93–95 °F, providing context for why the 94–97 °F bins dominate trader consensus. Latest model runs remain consistent with little change in steering or moisture profiles through the afternoon, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 96–97 °F outcome at 54.5 % implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions