Latest meteorological guidance from Turkey's MGM and international models shows Istanbul under sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly flow on August 17, producing a forecast daily maximum of 27–28°C. This consensus positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting limited daytime heating and typical late-August steering patterns that prevent significant warm advection. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling from early-August peaks near 35°C, consistent with stabilizing high pressure and no incoming heatwave signals in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could favor either adjacent bin; traders appear to weight the 26–27°C range heavily given model agreement and historical August maxima averaging near 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
26°C 56%
27°C 34%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
56%
27°C
34%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 34%
25°C 8%
28°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
56%
27°C
34%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological guidance from Turkey's MGM and international models shows Istanbul under sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly flow on August 17, producing a forecast daily maximum of 27–28°C. This consensus positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting limited daytime heating and typical late-August steering patterns that prevent significant warm advection. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling from early-August peaks near 35°C, consistent with stabilizing high pressure and no incoming heatwave signals in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could favor either adjacent bin; traders appear to weight the 26–27°C range heavily given model agreement and historical August maxima averaging near 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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