Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 交易量
$91,676 交易量
2026-08-17
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 交易量
$91,676 交易量
2026-08-17
4°C or below
$110 交易量
No
5°C
$106 交易量
No
6°C
$2,135 交易量
No
7°C
$4,515 交易量
No
8°C
$14,162 交易量
No
9°C
$17,870 交易量
No
10°C
$21,778 交易量
Yes
11°C
$19,836 交易量
No
12°C
$5,060 交易量
No
13°C
$5,168 交易量
No
14°C or higher
$938 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$91,676結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$91,676結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions