Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional guidance indicate a daytime high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 22 August under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August maxima typically reach 12–13 °C, but recent high-pressure influence has supported slightly milder readings after earlier cold southerly episodes. Trader positioning heavily favors the 15 °C outcome because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest downside risk from localized cooling or wind shifts that could cap the peak at 14 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月22日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 67%
14°C 26%
16°C 8%
13°C 2%
最新
$16,677 交易量
最新
$16,677 交易量
2026-08-22
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
26%
15°C
67%
16°C
8%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 67%
14°C 26%
16°C 8%
13°C 2%
最新
$16,677 交易量
最新
$16,677 交易量
2026-08-22
9°C or below
$150 交易量
<1%
10°C
$150 交易量
<1%
11°C
$651 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,715 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,516 交易量
2%
14°C
$4,317 交易量
26%
15°C
$3,845 交易量
67%
16°C
$1,385 交易量
8%
17°C
$1,603 交易量
<1%
18°C
$807 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$537 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional guidance indicate a daytime high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 22 August under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August maxima typically reach 12–13 °C, but recent high-pressure influence has supported slightly milder readings after earlier cold southerly episodes. Trader positioning heavily favors the 15 °C outcome because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest downside risk from localized cooling or wind shifts that could cap the peak at 14 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,677結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional guidance indicate a daytime high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 22 August under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August maxima typically reach 12–13 °C, but recent high-pressure influence has supported slightly milder readings after earlier cold southerly episodes. Trader positioning heavily favors the 15 °C outcome because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest downside risk from localized cooling or wind shifts that could cap the peak at 14 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,677結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional guidance indicate a daytime high of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 22 August under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August maxima typically reach 12–13 °C, but recent high-pressure influence has supported slightly milder readings after earlier cold southerly episodes. Trader positioning heavily favors the 15 °C outcome because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest downside risk from localized cooling or wind shifts that could cap the peak at 14 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions