**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) project a daily high of 32°C in Taipei on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Climatological baselines for late August show typical highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but current model consensus and real-time observations point to modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold. Traders’ strong consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of these authoritative data. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could push temperatures higher toward 33–34°C, while heavier or earlier storms might cap them at 31°C or below. Updated CWA briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日臺北氣溫最高？
8月23日臺北氣溫最高？
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$66,886 交易量
$66,886 交易量
2026-08-23
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$66,886 交易量
$66,886 交易量
2026-08-23
27°C or below
$6,336 交易量
No
28°C
$8,538 交易量
No
29°C
$8,640 交易量
No
30°C
$7,664 交易量
No
31°C
$9,353 交易量
No
32°C
$8,377 交易量
Yes
33°C
$6,749 交易量
No
34°C
$4,579 交易量
No
35°C
$3,831 交易量
No
36°C
$1,661 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$1,157 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) project a daily high of 32°C in Taipei on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome.**
Climatological baselines for late August show typical highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but current model consensus and real-time observations point to modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold. Traders’ strong consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of these authoritative data.
A rapid clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could push temperatures higher toward 33–34°C, while heavier or earlier storms might cap them at 31°C or below. Updated CWA briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$66,886結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) project a daily high of 32°C in Taipei on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome.**
Climatological baselines for late August show typical highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but current model consensus and real-time observations point to modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold. Traders’ strong consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of these authoritative data.
A rapid clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could push temperatures higher toward 33–34°C, while heavier or earlier storms might cap them at 31°C or below. Updated CWA briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,886結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) project a daily high of 32°C in Taipei on August 23 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Climatological baselines for late August show typical highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but current model consensus and real-time observations point to modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping peaks from exceeding this threshold. Traders’ strong consensus reflects the skin-in-the-game assessment of these authoritative data. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could push temperatures higher toward 33–34°C, while heavier or earlier storms might cap them at 31°C or below. Updated CWA briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions