Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's peak temperature for August 23 clusters around 34°C and 35°C because the latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate daytime highs in that narrow band under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Model spread arises mainly from differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 33 °C supply a baseline, while any strengthening of onshore flow or afternoon convection could cap readings at the lower end. Fresh model runs expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the uncertainty before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日廣州最高溫度?
34°C 34%
35°C 30%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
34%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C或以上
1%
34°C 34%
35°C 30%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
34%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's peak temperature for August 23 clusters around 34°C and 35°C because the latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate daytime highs in that narrow band under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Model spread arises mainly from differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 33 °C supply a baseline, while any strengthening of onshore flow or afternoon convection could cap readings at the lower end. Fresh model runs expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the uncertainty before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions