Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid's August 23 maximum will likely fall in the 31–34°C range, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C amid a seasonal decline. Key differentiating factors include the strength of subtropical high pressure, potential for weak Atlantic advection bringing slightly cooler maritime air, and variable cloud cover or wind that modulates daytime heating. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally, while ensemble spreads in global models create genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds. With resolution hinging on official AEMET observations two days ahead, traders weigh these variables against historical variability of ±3°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月23日馬德裏氣溫最高？
33°C 50%
34°C 31%
35°C 18%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
11%
33°C
50%
34°C
31%
35°C
9%
36°C
6%
37°C
6%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
4%
33°C 50%
34°C 31%
35°C 18%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
29°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
6%
32°C
$0 交易量
11%
33°C
$30 交易量
50%
34°C
$0 交易量
31%
35°C
$37 交易量
9%
36°C
$0 交易量
6%
37°C
$20 交易量
6%
38°C
$20 交易量
5%
39°C or higher
$20 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid's August 23 maximum will likely fall in the 31–34°C range, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C amid a seasonal decline. Key differentiating factors include the strength of subtropical high pressure, potential for weak Atlantic advection bringing slightly cooler maritime air, and variable cloud cover or wind that modulates daytime heating. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally, while ensemble spreads in global models create genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds. With resolution hinging on official AEMET observations two days ahead, traders weigh these variables against historical variability of ±3°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$127結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid's August 23 maximum will likely fall in the 31–34°C range, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C amid a seasonal decline. Key differentiating factors include the strength of subtropical high pressure, potential for weak Atlantic advection bringing slightly cooler maritime air, and variable cloud cover or wind that modulates daytime heating. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally, while ensemble spreads in global models create genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds. With resolution hinging on official AEMET observations two days ahead, traders weigh these variables against historical variability of ±3°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$127結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates Madrid's August 23 maximum will likely fall in the 31–34°C range, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C amid a seasonal decline. Key differentiating factors include the strength of subtropical high pressure, potential for weak Atlantic advection bringing slightly cooler maritime air, and variable cloud cover or wind that modulates daytime heating. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally, while ensemble spreads in global models create genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds. With resolution hinging on official AEMET observations two days ahead, traders weigh these variables against historical variability of ±3°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions