**Trader consensus at 100% on 21°C reflects official observations confirming the daily minimum temperature in Madrid reached 21–22°C on August 23, 2026.** AEMET and station data (e.g., Madrid Retiro and airport) recorded an overnight low near 21.7°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with climatological expectations for the date (historical average low ~18–19°C) and short-range model guidance that converged on minimal nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively resolved because verified measurements leave little room for revision. Unlikely challengers include a post-midnight drop below 21°C at a primary station or an official correction, though current data and timing make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月23日馬德裏最低氣溫？
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$4,804 交易量
$4,804 交易量
2026-08-23
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$4,804 交易量
$4,804 交易量
2026-08-23
17°C or below
$250 交易量
No
18°C
$230 交易量
No
19°C
$468 交易量
No
20°C
$326 交易量
No
21°C
$759 交易量
Yes
22°C
$115 交易量
No
23°C
$297 交易量
No
24°C
$413 交易量
No
25°C
$1,156 交易量
No
26°C
$167 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$621 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 21°C reflects official observations confirming the daily minimum temperature in Madrid reached 21–22°C on August 23, 2026.**
AEMET and station data (e.g., Madrid Retiro and airport) recorded an overnight low near 21.7°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with climatological expectations for the date (historical average low ~18–19°C) and short-range model guidance that converged on minimal nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively resolved because verified measurements leave little room for revision.
Unlikely challengers include a post-midnight drop below 21°C at a primary station or an official correction, though current data and timing make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,804結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 21°C reflects official observations confirming the daily minimum temperature in Madrid reached 21–22°C on August 23, 2026.**
AEMET and station data (e.g., Madrid Retiro and airport) recorded an overnight low near 21.7°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with climatological expectations for the date (historical average low ~18–19°C) and short-range model guidance that converged on minimal nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively resolved because verified measurements leave little room for revision.
Unlikely challengers include a post-midnight drop below 21°C at a primary station or an official correction, though current data and timing make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,804結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% on 21°C reflects official observations confirming the daily minimum temperature in Madrid reached 21–22°C on August 23, 2026.** AEMET and station data (e.g., Madrid Retiro and airport) recorded an overnight low near 21.7°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with climatological expectations for the date (historical average low ~18–19°C) and short-range model guidance that converged on minimal nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively resolved because verified measurements leave little room for revision. Unlikely challengers include a post-midnight drop below 21°C at a primary station or an official correction, though current data and timing make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions