Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near the late-August climatological average of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19–21°C outcomes, as historical data show such values occur frequently in the region during the third week of August without strong high-pressure blocking. Minor model spread on cloud cover and frontal timing keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated, with updates from KNMI expected to refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
20°C 57%
19°C 20%
21°C 16%
22°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
46%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 57%
19°C 20%
21°C 16%
22°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
46%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near the late-August climatological average of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19–21°C outcomes, as historical data show such values occur frequently in the region during the third week of August without strong high-pressure blocking. Minor model spread on cloud cover and frontal timing keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated, with updates from KNMI expected to refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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