Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 19 project a daytime maximum of 11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with trader emphasis on this outcome. Wellington’s winter climatology features typical highs near 12–14°C, but an emerging El Niño pattern has favored cooler southwesterly flows and occasional polar air intrusions, keeping probabilities for 10–12°C elevated. Recent observations show temperatures tracking near or slightly above average amid variable frontal systems, with model guidance showing limited spread for the short two-day lead time. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average conditions for the region, while any late intensification of southerlies could nudge readings toward 10°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月19日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
11°C 51%
12°C 28%
10°C 16%
14°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
5°C or below
1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
4%
10°C
16%
11°C
51%
12°C
28%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 51%
12°C 28%
10°C 16%
14°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
5°C or below
$196 交易量
1%
6°C
$186 交易量
<1%
7°C
$59 交易量
1%
8°C
$5 交易量
3%
9°C
$84 交易量
4%
10°C
$189 交易量
16%
11°C
$410 交易量
51%
12°C
$212 交易量
28%
13°C
$90 交易量
3%
14°C
$5 交易量
4%
15°C or higher
$24 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 19 project a daytime maximum of 11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with trader emphasis on this outcome. Wellington’s winter climatology features typical highs near 12–14°C, but an emerging El Niño pattern has favored cooler southwesterly flows and occasional polar air intrusions, keeping probabilities for 10–12°C elevated. Recent observations show temperatures tracking near or slightly above average amid variable frontal systems, with model guidance showing limited spread for the short two-day lead time. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average conditions for the region, while any late intensification of southerlies could nudge readings toward 10°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,459結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 19 project a daytime maximum of 11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with trader emphasis on this outcome. Wellington’s winter climatology features typical highs near 12–14°C, but an emerging El Niño pattern has favored cooler southwesterly flows and occasional polar air intrusions, keeping probabilities for 10–12°C elevated. Recent observations show temperatures tracking near or slightly above average amid variable frontal systems, with model guidance showing limited spread for the short two-day lead time. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average conditions for the region, while any late intensification of southerlies could nudge readings toward 10°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,459結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 19 project a daytime maximum of 11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with trader emphasis on this outcome. Wellington’s winter climatology features typical highs near 12–14°C, but an emerging El Niño pattern has favored cooler southwesterly flows and occasional polar air intrusions, keeping probabilities for 10–12°C elevated. Recent observations show temperatures tracking near or slightly above average amid variable frontal systems, with model guidance showing limited spread for the short two-day lead time. NIWA’s seasonal outlook reinforces near-average conditions for the region, while any late intensification of southerlies could nudge readings toward 10°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions