Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Taipei on August 19 under partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer subtropical patterns. August climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, with current model consensus and surface measurements supporting this exact threshold rather than higher readings. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified data and low remaining uncertainty as the day advances toward resolution. A late-afternoon convective burst or localized heat anomaly could theoretically push readings higher, though such shifts appear improbable given stable atmospheric conditions and ongoing monitoring.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日臺北氣溫最高？
8月19日臺北氣溫最高？
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$62,436 交易量
$62,436 交易量
2026-08-19
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$62,436 交易量
$62,436 交易量
2026-08-19
26°C or below
$191 交易量
No
27°C
$186 交易量
No
28°C
$573 交易量
No
29°C
$2,915 交易量
No
30°C
$7,871 交易量
No
31°C
$11,915 交易量
No
32°C
$12,524 交易量
Yes
33°C
$7,703 交易量
No
34°C
$7,927 交易量
No
35°C
$7,237 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$3,394 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Taipei on August 19 under partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer subtropical patterns. August climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, with current model consensus and surface measurements supporting this exact threshold rather than higher readings. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified data and low remaining uncertainty as the day advances toward resolution. A late-afternoon convective burst or localized heat anomaly could theoretically push readings higher, though such shifts appear improbable given stable atmospheric conditions and ongoing monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$62,436結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Taipei on August 19 under partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer subtropical patterns. August climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, with current model consensus and surface measurements supporting this exact threshold rather than higher readings. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified data and low remaining uncertainty as the day advances toward resolution. A late-afternoon convective burst or localized heat anomaly could theoretically push readings higher, though such shifts appear improbable given stable atmospheric conditions and ongoing monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62,436結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration align with a daily maximum of 32°C in Taipei on August 19 under partly cloudy conditions typical of late-summer subtropical patterns. August climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, with current model consensus and surface measurements supporting this exact threshold rather than higher readings. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified data and low remaining uncertainty as the day advances toward resolution. A late-afternoon convective burst or localized heat anomaly could theoretically push readings higher, though such shifts appear improbable given stable atmospheric conditions and ongoing monitoring.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions