Current forecasts for Jeddah on August 19 center on a daily maximum near 38°C, consistent with the market's leading 31% implied probability, as regional models from sources like the Met Office project 38–40°C under typical August conditions of high solar insolation, Red Sea humidity, and light northwesterly winds. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 37–38°C, with recent days recording 36–39°C amid stable high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and convective cooling. Differentiation among 37–40°C outcomes hinges on small variations in afternoon boundary-layer heating, sea-breeze timing, and model spread in 2-meter temperature fields; lower probabilities for 41°C+ reflect the rarity of such extremes without stronger subsidence or heat advection. Updated NHC or local meteorological agency runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月19日的最高溫度?
38°C 31%
39°C 23%
37°C 18%
40°C 13%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
18%
38°C
31%
39°C
23%
40°C
13%
41°C或更高
6%
38°C 31%
39°C 23%
37°C 18%
40°C 13%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
18%
38°C
31%
39°C
23%
40°C
13%
41°C或更高
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Jeddah on August 19 center on a daily maximum near 38°C, consistent with the market's leading 31% implied probability, as regional models from sources like the Met Office project 38–40°C under typical August conditions of high solar insolation, Red Sea humidity, and light northwesterly winds. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 37–38°C, with recent days recording 36–39°C amid stable high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and convective cooling. Differentiation among 37–40°C outcomes hinges on small variations in afternoon boundary-layer heating, sea-breeze timing, and model spread in 2-meter temperature fields; lower probabilities for 41°C+ reflect the rarity of such extremes without stronger subsidence or heat advection. Updated NHC or local meteorological agency runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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