Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models currently indicate peak temperatures in Milan around 32–33°C on August 19 under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any afternoon cloud cover or instability, and Po Valley heat retention create the tight spread between these outcomes, with urban heat-island effects at the measurement site potentially elevating readings slightly above rural analogs. Historical August maxima near 30°C provide context, while model consensus and limited downside risk from showers support the market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C over higher or lower thresholds. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window could refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日米蘭的最高溫度?
32°C 36%
33°C 36%
34°C 12%
31°C 12%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
36%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 36%
34°C 12%
31°C 12%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
36%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models currently indicate peak temperatures in Milan around 32–33°C on August 19 under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any afternoon cloud cover or instability, and Po Valley heat retention create the tight spread between these outcomes, with urban heat-island effects at the measurement site potentially elevating readings slightly above rural analogs. Historical August maxima near 30°C provide context, while model consensus and limited downside risk from showers support the market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C over higher or lower thresholds. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window could refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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