Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI have converged on a maximum temperature of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 19, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes as the primary catalyst. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, with moderate Atlantic flow, limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover, and no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while short-range model consensus leaves little room for extremes below 20°C or above 23°C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of the daily high measurement window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 43%
22°C 35%
20°C 17%
23°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
17%
21°C
43%
22°C
35%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 35%
20°C 17%
23°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C或以下
$114 交易量
<1%
17°C
$195 交易量
1%
18°C
$107 交易量
1%
19°C
$308 交易量
4%
20°C
$325 交易量
17%
21°C
$515 交易量
43%
22°C
$1,187 交易量
35%
23°C
$247 交易量
5%
24°C
$147 交易量
1%
25°C
$114 交易量
1%
26°C或以上
$88 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI have converged on a maximum temperature of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 19, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes as the primary catalyst. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, with moderate Atlantic flow, limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover, and no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while short-range model consensus leaves little room for extremes below 20°C or above 23°C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of the daily high measurement window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,346結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI have converged on a maximum temperature of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 19, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes as the primary catalyst. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, with moderate Atlantic flow, limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover, and no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while short-range model consensus leaves little room for extremes below 20°C or above 23°C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of the daily high measurement window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,346結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, Met Office, and KNMI have converged on a maximum temperature of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 19, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes as the primary catalyst. This reflects typical late-summer conditions over the North Sea region, with moderate Atlantic flow, limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover, and no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while short-range model consensus leaves little room for extremes below 20°C or above 23°C. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of the daily high measurement window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions