Current short-term forecasts from major models indicate a stable late-summer high-pressure system over the region, with mostly sunny skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and daytime maxima expected near 29–30 °C on August 19. These conditions align with typical August climatology for Istanbul (historical averages 27–29 °C) but reflect modest cooling from prevailing Etesian-type flow that limits extreme heat. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 27 °C and 28 °C stems from small differences in model guidance on peak timing, exact station measurement (accounting for urban effects versus official sites), and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月19日的最高溫度?
27°C 33%
28°C 33%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
33%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
28°C 33%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
33%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from major models indicate a stable late-summer high-pressure system over the region, with mostly sunny skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and daytime maxima expected near 29–30 °C on August 19. These conditions align with typical August climatology for Istanbul (historical averages 27–29 °C) but reflect modest cooling from prevailing Etesian-type flow that limits extreme heat. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 27 °C and 28 °C stems from small differences in model guidance on peak timing, exact station measurement (accounting for urban effects versus official sites), and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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