Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum of 32°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 17 amid partly cloudy conditions with afternoon showers (60% probability), which has anchored trader consensus around 29–30°C. Persistent summer humidity, residual heatwave effects from early August peaks near 39–42°C elsewhere in the country, and potential cloud cover or precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Model consensus shows typical August highs near 31°C climatologically, but localized thundershowers could suppress temperatures below that threshold. Updated short-range guidance and any morning observations on August 17 will refine resolution around the 29°C outcome currently holding the highest implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
29°C 39%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 8%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 8%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum of 32°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 17 amid partly cloudy conditions with afternoon showers (60% probability), which has anchored trader consensus around 29–30°C. Persistent summer humidity, residual heatwave effects from early August peaks near 39–42°C elsewhere in the country, and potential cloud cover or precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Model consensus shows typical August highs near 31°C climatologically, but localized thundershowers could suppress temperatures below that threshold. Updated short-range guidance and any morning observations on August 17 will refine resolution around the 29°C outcome currently holding the highest implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions