**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the day's maximum temperature in Moscow on August 21, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model runs aligning with the climatological average high of roughly 21.8°C.** Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center anticipated a daytime range of 22–24°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, yet actual conditions—including persistent cloudiness, light rain, and westerly winds—kept peaks at or below 21–22°C in hourly readings. This outcome sits near the long-term norm for late August, when Atlantic-influenced air masses typically moderate summer warmth. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates traders view 21°C as the confirmed or highly probable high based on surface observations and short-range models. Only an unforecasted late-day spike above this threshold, driven by unexpected clearing or advection of warmer air, could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$31,288 交易量
$31,288 交易量
2026-08-21
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$31,288 交易量
$31,288 交易量
2026-08-21
16°C or below
$793 交易量
No
17°C
$938 交易量
No
18°C
$622 交易量
No
19°C
$751 交易量
No
20°C
$2,476 交易量
No
21°C
$8,850 交易量
Yes
22°C
$4,696 交易量
No
23°C
$8,813 交易量
No
24°C
$1,971 交易量
No
25°C
$548 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$830 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the day's maximum temperature in Moscow on August 21, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model runs aligning with the climatological average high of roughly 21.8°C.** Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center anticipated a daytime range of 22–24°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, yet actual conditions—including persistent cloudiness, light rain, and westerly winds—kept peaks at or below 21–22°C in hourly readings. This outcome sits near the long-term norm for late August, when Atlantic-influenced air masses typically moderate summer warmth. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates traders view 21°C as the confirmed or highly probable high based on surface observations and short-range models. Only an unforecasted late-day spike above this threshold, driven by unexpected clearing or advection of warmer air, could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,288結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the day's maximum temperature in Moscow on August 21, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model runs aligning with the climatological average high of roughly 21.8°C.** Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center anticipated a daytime range of 22–24°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, yet actual conditions—including persistent cloudiness, light rain, and westerly winds—kept peaks at or below 21–22°C in hourly readings. This outcome sits near the long-term norm for late August, when Atlantic-influenced air masses typically moderate summer warmth. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates traders view 21°C as the confirmed or highly probable high based on surface observations and short-range models. Only an unforecasted late-day spike above this threshold, driven by unexpected clearing or advection of warmer air, could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,288結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the day's maximum temperature in Moscow on August 21, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and model runs aligning with the climatological average high of roughly 21.8°C.** Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center anticipated a daytime range of 22–24°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, yet actual conditions—including persistent cloudiness, light rain, and westerly winds—kept peaks at or below 21–22°C in hourly readings. This outcome sits near the long-term norm for late August, when Atlantic-influenced air masses typically moderate summer warmth. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates traders view 21°C as the confirmed or highly probable high based on surface observations and short-range models. Only an unforecasted late-day spike above this threshold, driven by unexpected clearing or advection of warmer air, could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions