Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and strong solar insolation, drives the current market-implied odds favoring a Dallas high of 104–105°F at 52.5 percent. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on afternoon maxima near 103–105°F for August 21 amid an ongoing heat wave that has already produced recent daily peaks of 104–107°F, well above the long-term August average near 96°F. Residual model spread and the chance of suppressed convection support the secondary 106–107°F bin at 36.5 percent. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or early thunderstorm development could cap readings lower, while drier conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data release likely to shift trader sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月21日達拉斯的最高溫度？
104-105°F 47%
106-107°F 42%
108-109°F 6%
102-103°F 5%
最新
$28,396 交易量
最新
$28,396 交易量
2026-08-21
99°F or below
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
42%
108-109°F
6%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 47%
106-107°F 42%
108-109°F 6%
102-103°F 5%
最新
$28,396 交易量
最新
$28,396 交易量
2026-08-21
99°F or below
$6,813 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$4,076 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$4,246 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$3,519 交易量
47%
106-107°F
$4,730 交易量
42%
108-109°F
$866 交易量
6%
110-111°F
$917 交易量
1%
112-113°F
$2,338 交易量
<1%
114-115°F
$279 交易量
<1%
116-117°F
$227 交易量
<1%
118°F or higher
$385 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and strong solar insolation, drives the current market-implied odds favoring a Dallas high of 104–105°F at 52.5 percent. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on afternoon maxima near 103–105°F for August 21 amid an ongoing heat wave that has already produced recent daily peaks of 104–107°F, well above the long-term August average near 96°F. Residual model spread and the chance of suppressed convection support the secondary 106–107°F bin at 36.5 percent. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or early thunderstorm development could cap readings lower, while drier conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data release likely to shift trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$28,396結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and strong solar insolation, drives the current market-implied odds favoring a Dallas high of 104–105°F at 52.5 percent. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on afternoon maxima near 103–105°F for August 21 amid an ongoing heat wave that has already produced recent daily peaks of 104–107°F, well above the long-term August average near 96°F. Residual model spread and the chance of suppressed convection support the secondary 106–107°F bin at 36.5 percent. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or early thunderstorm development could cap readings lower, while drier conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data release likely to shift trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,396結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETPersistent high pressure over North Texas, combined with mostly clear skies and strong solar insolation, drives the current market-implied odds favoring a Dallas high of 104–105°F at 52.5 percent. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on afternoon maxima near 103–105°F for August 21 amid an ongoing heat wave that has already produced recent daily peaks of 104–107°F, well above the long-term August average near 96°F. Residual model spread and the chance of suppressed convection support the secondary 106–107°F bin at 36.5 percent. Any increase in boundary-layer moisture or early thunderstorm development could cap readings lower, while drier conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data release likely to shift trader sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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