Recent meteorological forecasts from Argentine services and international models, including consensus runs projecting a daily maximum of 12–13°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, form the primary driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C. This aligns with observed early-morning temperatures near 9°C and typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns for late August in Buenos Aires, where highs average around 15°C but cooler air masses can suppress readings. Model agreement on limited diurnal rise and absence of significant warm advection supports the current implied probabilities, with resolution expected at close of day based on official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
12°C 64%
13°C 26%
11°C 10%
14°C 2%
$22,000 交易量
$22,000 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
10%
12°C
64%
13°C
26%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 64%
13°C 26%
11°C 10%
14°C 2%
$22,000 交易量
$22,000 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
10%
12°C
64%
13°C
26%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts from Argentine services and international models, including consensus runs projecting a daily maximum of 12–13°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, form the primary driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C. This aligns with observed early-morning temperatures near 9°C and typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns for late August in Buenos Aires, where highs average around 15°C but cooler air masses can suppress readings. Model agreement on limited diurnal rise and absence of significant warm advection supports the current implied probabilities, with resolution expected at close of day based on official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions