Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Seattle on August 21 point to a high near 79–81°F under lingering high pressure, with marine air moderation and light northwesterly flow limiting afternoon warming. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread driven by uncertainties in daytime cloud cover and the strength of the sea breeze, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by a few degrees along the Sound. These near-term conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 80–83°F bins, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from climatological late-August norms in the absence of strong onshore or offshore flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日西雅圖的最高溫度?
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 11%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 11%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Seattle on August 21 point to a high near 79–81°F under lingering high pressure, with marine air moderation and light northwesterly flow limiting afternoon warming. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread driven by uncertainties in daytime cloud cover and the strength of the sea breeze, which can suppress or enhance temperatures by a few degrees along the Sound. These near-term conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 80–83°F bins, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from climatological late-August norms in the absence of strong onshore or offshore flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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