Recent cold fronts and southerly flow have kept Buenos Aires temperatures suppressed, with recent daily maxima near 12–15°C under cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Ensemble models show a modest warming trend into August 19, supporting a most-likely peak near 16°C as the mode, with limited upside risk to 17°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical August climatology (mean high ~17°C) and narrow forecast spread explain why lower outcomes like 15°C or below hold smaller implied probabilities, while extremes above 18°C remain discounted absent stronger ridging or northerly advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
16°C 54%
17°C 25%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
11%
16°C
54%
17°C
25%
18°C
8%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 54%
17°C 25%
15°C 11%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
10°C or below
$55 交易量
<1%
11°C
$452 交易量
<1%
12°C
$450 交易量
1%
13°C
$220 交易量
1%
14°C
$281 交易量
3%
15°C
$346 交易量
11%
16°C
$548 交易量
54%
17°C
$128 交易量
25%
18°C
$11 交易量
8%
19°C
$13 交易量
3%
20°C or higher
$98 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and southerly flow have kept Buenos Aires temperatures suppressed, with recent daily maxima near 12–15°C under cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Ensemble models show a modest warming trend into August 19, supporting a most-likely peak near 16°C as the mode, with limited upside risk to 17°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical August climatology (mean high ~17°C) and narrow forecast spread explain why lower outcomes like 15°C or below hold smaller implied probabilities, while extremes above 18°C remain discounted absent stronger ridging or northerly advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$2,602結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and southerly flow have kept Buenos Aires temperatures suppressed, with recent daily maxima near 12–15°C under cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Ensemble models show a modest warming trend into August 19, supporting a most-likely peak near 16°C as the mode, with limited upside risk to 17°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical August climatology (mean high ~17°C) and narrow forecast spread explain why lower outcomes like 15°C or below hold smaller implied probabilities, while extremes above 18°C remain discounted absent stronger ridging or northerly advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,602結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETRecent cold fronts and southerly flow have kept Buenos Aires temperatures suppressed, with recent daily maxima near 12–15°C under cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance. Ensemble models show a modest warming trend into August 19, supporting a most-likely peak near 16°C as the mode, with limited upside risk to 17°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical August climatology (mean high ~17°C) and narrow forecast spread explain why lower outcomes like 15°C or below hold smaller implied probabilities, while extremes above 18°C remain discounted absent stronger ridging or northerly advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions