The leading market-implied outcomes of 30–32°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 22 reflect PAGASA guidance showing a forecast high near 32°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with 60–70% rain chances that typically cap afternoon peaks through persistent cloud cover. Recent heavy-rainfall advisories tied to the monsoon have reinforced this range by limiting solar heating and promoting convective activity, consistent with August climatology of 30–31°C average highs. Model consensus and seasonal baselines favor 31°C as the most probable peak, while deviations to 29°C or 33°C hinge on short-term shifts in monsoon intensity or brief clearing windows before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月22日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
24%
31°C
36%
32°C
21%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
25°C或以下
$196 交易量
<1%
26°C
$196 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$80 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$36 交易量
24%
31°C
$0 交易量
36%
32°C
$47 交易量
21%
33°C
$38 交易量
14%
34°C
$35 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The leading market-implied outcomes of 30–32°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 22 reflect PAGASA guidance showing a forecast high near 32°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with 60–70% rain chances that typically cap afternoon peaks through persistent cloud cover. Recent heavy-rainfall advisories tied to the monsoon have reinforced this range by limiting solar heating and promoting convective activity, consistent with August climatology of 30–31°C average highs. Model consensus and seasonal baselines favor 31°C as the most probable peak, while deviations to 29°C or 33°C hinge on short-term shifts in monsoon intensity or brief clearing windows before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$628結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The leading market-implied outcomes of 30–32°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 22 reflect PAGASA guidance showing a forecast high near 32°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with 60–70% rain chances that typically cap afternoon peaks through persistent cloud cover. Recent heavy-rainfall advisories tied to the monsoon have reinforced this range by limiting solar heating and promoting convective activity, consistent with August climatology of 30–31°C average highs. Model consensus and seasonal baselines favor 31°C as the most probable peak, while deviations to 29°C or 33°C hinge on short-term shifts in monsoon intensity or brief clearing windows before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$628結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThe leading market-implied outcomes of 30–32°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 22 reflect PAGASA guidance showing a forecast high near 32°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with 60–70% rain chances that typically cap afternoon peaks through persistent cloud cover. Recent heavy-rainfall advisories tied to the monsoon have reinforced this range by limiting solar heating and promoting convective activity, consistent with August climatology of 30–31°C average highs. Model consensus and seasonal baselines favor 31°C as the most probable peak, while deviations to 29°C or 33°C hinge on short-term shifts in monsoon intensity or brief clearing windows before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions