Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月22日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
52%
28°C
33%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
26°C 12%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
23°C or below
$221 交易量
1%
24°C
$215 交易量
1%
25°C
$233 交易量
2%
26°C
$644 交易量
12%
27°C
$646 交易量
52%
28°C
$644 交易量
33%
29°C
$159 交易量
4%
30°C
$206 交易量
2%
31°C
$213 交易量
1%
32°C
$270 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$486 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,939結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,939結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office, indicate a high of 27°C for Istanbul on August 22 under stable summer high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean climate, with light northerly winds and low humidity supporting moderate temperatures near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential from urban heat island effects or southerly flows, while recent observational data confirm no incoming heatwave or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. These factors position 27–28°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 84%, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions