Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show Seoul-Incheon highs stabilizing near 31–33°C on August 19 amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation chances (under 30%). This follows an early-August heatwave with record regional averages above 34°C, though mid-month moderation from increased cloud cover and residual monsoon moisture has tempered peaks. Trader consensus clustering at 29–30°C (65% combined) versus 31°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of any afternoon clearing. Historical August baselines near 29–30°C highs provide context, but 48-hour forecast updates from KMA and ensemble runs will likely resolve the narrow 1–2°C spread before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
30°C 35%
29°C 31%
31°C 18%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
31%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 31%
31°C 18%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
31%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show Seoul-Incheon highs stabilizing near 31–33°C on August 19 amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation chances (under 30%). This follows an early-August heatwave with record regional averages above 34°C, though mid-month moderation from increased cloud cover and residual monsoon moisture has tempered peaks. Trader consensus clustering at 29–30°C (65% combined) versus 31°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of any afternoon clearing. Historical August baselines near 29–30°C highs provide context, but 48-hour forecast updates from KMA and ensemble runs will likely resolve the narrow 1–2°C spread before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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