**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Karachi near 31–32°C for August 15.** Long-range and extended forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Time and Date, and the Pakistan Meteorological Department consistently project daily highs of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light winds and a chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Historical August climatology reinforces this range, with average highs near 31°C and rare exceedances above 33°C when monsoon moisture suppresses insolation. Trader positioning around the 32°C outcome (51.5% implied probability) reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and recent observations showing near-normal or slightly below-normal temperatures amid active monsoon conditions across Sindh. The secondary probabilities on 31°C and 33°C capture residual forecast spread from potential variations in cloud thickness or rainfall timing, while lower odds on extremes align with the low historical frequency of significant deviations this late in the season. Updated model runs closer to the date will provide the next key inputs for refining these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
8月15日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
32°C 36%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
36%
33°C
24%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$275 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
11%
31°C
$39 交易量
25%
32°C
$551 交易量
36%
33°C
$0 交易量
24%
34°C
$0 交易量
12%
35°C
$37 交易量
7%
36°C
$10 交易量
5%
37°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Karachi near 31–32°C for August 15.** Long-range and extended forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Time and Date, and the Pakistan Meteorological Department consistently project daily highs of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light winds and a chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Historical August climatology reinforces this range, with average highs near 31°C and rare exceedances above 33°C when monsoon moisture suppresses insolation.
Trader positioning around the 32°C outcome (51.5% implied probability) reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and recent observations showing near-normal or slightly below-normal temperatures amid active monsoon conditions across Sindh. The secondary probabilities on 31°C and 33°C capture residual forecast spread from potential variations in cloud thickness or rainfall timing, while lower odds on extremes align with the low historical frequency of significant deviations this late in the season. Updated model runs closer to the date will provide the next key inputs for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$912結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Karachi near 31–32°C for August 15.** Long-range and extended forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Time and Date, and the Pakistan Meteorological Department consistently project daily highs of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light winds and a chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Historical August climatology reinforces this range, with average highs near 31°C and rare exceedances above 33°C when monsoon moisture suppresses insolation.
Trader positioning around the 32°C outcome (51.5% implied probability) reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and recent observations showing near-normal or slightly below-normal temperatures amid active monsoon conditions across Sindh. The secondary probabilities on 31°C and 33°C capture residual forecast spread from potential variations in cloud thickness or rainfall timing, while lower odds on extremes align with the low historical frequency of significant deviations this late in the season. Updated model runs closer to the date will provide the next key inputs for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$912結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered showers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Karachi near 31–32°C for August 15.** Long-range and extended forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, Time and Date, and the Pakistan Meteorological Department consistently project daily highs of 88–90°F (31–32°C) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light winds and a chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Historical August climatology reinforces this range, with average highs near 31°C and rare exceedances above 33°C when monsoon moisture suppresses insolation. Trader positioning around the 32°C outcome (51.5% implied probability) reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and recent observations showing near-normal or slightly below-normal temperatures amid active monsoon conditions across Sindh. The secondary probabilities on 31°C and 33°C capture residual forecast spread from potential variations in cloud thickness or rainfall timing, while lower odds on extremes align with the low historical frequency of significant deviations this late in the season. Updated model runs closer to the date will provide the next key inputs for refining these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions