Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Timeanddate indicate daytime highs in Jeddah around 39–40°C (102–104°F) on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Typical August conditions feature a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that allow intense solar heating, while the Red Sea's high humidity sustains elevated minimums near 30°C and supports peak readings. Recent observations show similar or hotter days earlier in the month, with limited model divergence suggesting little cooling expected overnight into the 15th. Traders weigh these climatological baselines and short-range guidance against the slim chance of localized marine influences or minor forecast shifts that could cap readings at 38–39°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月15日的最高溫度？
吉達8月15日的最高溫度？
40°C或以上 73%
39°C 17%
38°C 8%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
8%
39°C
17%
40°C或以上
73%
40°C或以上 73%
39°C 17%
38°C 8%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C或以下
$362 交易量
<1%
31°C
$372 交易量
<1%
32°C
$372 交易量
<1%
33°C
$262 交易量
<1%
34°C
$91 交易量
<1%
35°C
$76 交易量
<1%
36°C
$897 交易量
1%
37°C
$366 交易量
5%
38°C
$320 交易量
8%
39°C
$386 交易量
17%
40°C或以上
$760 交易量
73%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Timeanddate indicate daytime highs in Jeddah around 39–40°C (102–104°F) on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Typical August conditions feature a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that allow intense solar heating, while the Red Sea's high humidity sustains elevated minimums near 30°C and supports peak readings. Recent observations show similar or hotter days earlier in the month, with limited model divergence suggesting little cooling expected overnight into the 15th. Traders weigh these climatological baselines and short-range guidance against the slim chance of localized marine influences or minor forecast shifts that could cap readings at 38–39°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,259結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Timeanddate indicate daytime highs in Jeddah around 39–40°C (102–104°F) on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Typical August conditions feature a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that allow intense solar heating, while the Red Sea's high humidity sustains elevated minimums near 30°C and supports peak readings. Recent observations show similar or hotter days earlier in the month, with limited model divergence suggesting little cooling expected overnight into the 15th. Traders weigh these climatological baselines and short-range guidance against the slim chance of localized marine influences or minor forecast shifts that could cap readings at 38–39°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,259結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and Timeanddate indicate daytime highs in Jeddah around 39–40°C (102–104°F) on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 40°C or higher. Typical August conditions feature a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that allow intense solar heating, while the Red Sea's high humidity sustains elevated minimums near 30°C and supports peak readings. Recent observations show similar or hotter days earlier in the month, with limited model divergence suggesting little cooling expected overnight into the 15th. Traders weigh these climatological baselines and short-range guidance against the slim chance of localized marine influences or minor forecast shifts that could cap readings at 38–39°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions