Forecast models for Amsterdam on August 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 23–26°C, driven by the abrupt end of a regional heat wave and influx of cooler maritime air accompanied by variable cloud cover and possible showers. Ensemble guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF shows modest spread around these values, with surface observations confirming recent highs near or above 30°C giving way to stabilization near seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 26°C outcome at 37% implied probability aligns with this central tendency, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or slight warming under breaks in cloud. Updated model runs and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月15日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
26°C 37%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
24°C 10%
最新
$14,258 交易量
最新
$14,258 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
22%
26°C
37%
27°C
25%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
24°C 10%
最新
$14,258 交易量
最新
$14,258 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$362 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,680 交易量
1%
22°C
$937 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,918 交易量
5%
24°C
$1,822 交易量
10%
25°C
$1,701 交易量
22%
26°C
$2,531 交易量
37%
27°C
$1,803 交易量
25%
28°C
$890 交易量
5%
29°C
$317 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$296 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Amsterdam on August 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 23–26°C, driven by the abrupt end of a regional heat wave and influx of cooler maritime air accompanied by variable cloud cover and possible showers. Ensemble guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF shows modest spread around these values, with surface observations confirming recent highs near or above 30°C giving way to stabilization near seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 26°C outcome at 37% implied probability aligns with this central tendency, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or slight warming under breaks in cloud. Updated model runs and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$14,258結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Amsterdam on August 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 23–26°C, driven by the abrupt end of a regional heat wave and influx of cooler maritime air accompanied by variable cloud cover and possible showers. Ensemble guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF shows modest spread around these values, with surface observations confirming recent highs near or above 30°C giving way to stabilization near seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 26°C outcome at 37% implied probability aligns with this central tendency, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or slight warming under breaks in cloud. Updated model runs and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,258結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models for Amsterdam on August 15 indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 23–26°C, driven by the abrupt end of a regional heat wave and influx of cooler maritime air accompanied by variable cloud cover and possible showers. Ensemble guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ECMWF shows modest spread around these values, with surface observations confirming recent highs near or above 30°C giving way to stabilization near seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 26°C outcome at 37% implied probability aligns with this central tendency, while nearby bins capture residual uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or slight warming under breaks in cloud. Updated model runs and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will provide the final inputs for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions