Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日廣州最高溫度？
8月15日廣州最高溫度？
35°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 交易量
$56,579 交易量
2026-08-15
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
35°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 交易量
$56,579 交易量
2026-08-15
29°C或以下
$1,392 交易量
否
30°C
$3,809 交易量
否
31°C
$7,291 交易量
否
32°C
$7,435 交易量
否
33°C
$6,287 交易量
否
34°C
$5,808 交易量
否
35°C
$5,427 交易量
是
36°C
$6,129 交易量
否
37°C
$5,974 交易量
否
38°C
$4,312 交易量
否
39°C或以上
$2,716 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$56,579結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56,579結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions