Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s overnight low for August 18 near 80–81°F beneath subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the market’s 55.5% implied probability for 80–81°F and secondary 26% weighting on 78–79°F, matching climatological August norms of 78–82°F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or fronts, keeping probabilities anchored. Traders emphasize consensus guidance while noting that unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the minimum slightly lower within resolution bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日邁阿密的最低溫度?
80-81°F 55%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 5%
華氏69度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
55%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 55%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 5%
華氏69度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
55%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami’s overnight low for August 18 near 80–81°F beneath subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the market’s 55.5% implied probability for 80–81°F and secondary 26% weighting on 78–79°F, matching climatological August norms of 78–82°F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or fronts, keeping probabilities anchored. Traders emphasize consensus guidance while noting that unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the minimum slightly lower within resolution bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions