**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.** Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月18日邁阿密的最高溫度？
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 16%
92-93°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 16%
92-93°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
91°F or below
$25 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$30 交易量
7%
94-95°F
$57 交易量
7%
96-97°F
$180 交易量
22%
98-99°F
$177 交易量
54%
100-101°F
$338 交易量
16%
102-103°F
$150 交易量
6%
104-105°F
$5 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$20 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$20 交易量
<1%
華氏110度或更高
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.**
Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,023結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.**
Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,023結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.** Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions