Recent KMA and international model runs for Incheon International Airport on August 9 point to a daytime maximum near 33–34 °C under continued influence of the North Pacific High, producing hot, humid air with limited mixing and high heat indices. Persistent clear skies and light easterly winds favor peak readings in this narrow band, while minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1 °C either way. The closely matched market-implied odds around 33 °C and 34 °C reflect this genuine short-range forecast spread, with climatological August baselines near 29–31 °C underscoring the elevated but not extreme conditions expected. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
34°C 33%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
27%
34°C
33%
35°C
19%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
27%
34°C
33%
35°C
19%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA and international model runs for Incheon International Airport on August 9 point to a daytime maximum near 33–34 °C under continued influence of the North Pacific High, producing hot, humid air with limited mixing and high heat indices. Persistent clear skies and light easterly winds favor peak readings in this narrow band, while minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1 °C either way. The closely matched market-implied odds around 33 °C and 34 °C reflect this genuine short-range forecast spread, with climatological August baselines near 29–31 °C underscoring the elevated but not extreme conditions expected. Updated model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions