Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning closely with the 25–26°C range typical for early August climatology when subtropical high pressure dominates. This consensus draws from official observational networks and model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat retention, which keeps surface temperatures elevated overnight. Trader positioning at 25°C with full implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these verified guidance products. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized station-specific variation exceeding normal measurement tolerances, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日東京最低氣溫？
8月9日東京最低氣溫？
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,474 交易量
$16,474 交易量
2026-08-09
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,474 交易量
$16,474 交易量
2026-08-09
21°C或以下
$376 交易量
否
22°C
$976 交易量
否
23°C
$904 交易量
否
24°C
$1,087 交易量
否
25°C
$4,150 交易量
是
26°C
$6,030 交易量
否
27°C
$1,140 交易量
否
28°C
$601 交易量
否
29°C
$460 交易量
否
30°C
$379 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$374 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning closely with the 25–26°C range typical for early August climatology when subtropical high pressure dominates. This consensus draws from official observational networks and model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat retention, which keeps surface temperatures elevated overnight. Trader positioning at 25°C with full implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these verified guidance products. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized station-specific variation exceeding normal measurement tolerances, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$16,474結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning closely with the 25–26°C range typical for early August climatology when subtropical high pressure dominates. This consensus draws from official observational networks and model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat retention, which keeps surface temperatures elevated overnight. Trader positioning at 25°C with full implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these verified guidance products. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized station-specific variation exceeding normal measurement tolerances, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,474結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a nighttime minimum of 25°C in Tokyo on August 9 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning closely with the 25–26°C range typical for early August climatology when subtropical high pressure dominates. This consensus draws from official observational networks and model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat retention, which keeps surface temperatures elevated overnight. Trader positioning at 25°C with full implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these verified guidance products. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or localized station-specific variation exceeding normal measurement tolerances, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions