Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 18 will reach approximately 24–25°C under typical summer conditions of high humidity and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at 25°C. This positioning reflects consistent model agreement on stable atmospheric patterns without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover that could depress readings further. Historical August climatology for the region supports minimums clustered around 23–25°C, with urban heat island effects often moderating extremes. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of rapid shifts from an approaching weather system or localized measurement variations at official stations as insufficient to alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日東京最低溫度？
8月18日東京最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,655 交易量
$12,655 交易量
2026-08-18
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,655 交易量
$12,655 交易量
2026-08-18
20°C或以下
$422 交易量
否
21°C
$1,319 交易量
否
22°C
$1,616 交易量
否
23°C
$3,009 交易量
否
24°C
$1,485 交易量
否
25°C
$2,520 交易量
是
26°C
$439 交易量
否
27°C
$559 交易量
否
28°C
$676 交易量
否
29°C
$318 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$292 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 18 will reach approximately 24–25°C under typical summer conditions of high humidity and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at 25°C. This positioning reflects consistent model agreement on stable atmospheric patterns without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover that could depress readings further. Historical August climatology for the region supports minimums clustered around 23–25°C, with urban heat island effects often moderating extremes. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of rapid shifts from an approaching weather system or localized measurement variations at official stations as insufficient to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$12,655結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 18 will reach approximately 24–25°C under typical summer conditions of high humidity and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at 25°C. This positioning reflects consistent model agreement on stable atmospheric patterns without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover that could depress readings further. Historical August climatology for the region supports minimums clustered around 23–25°C, with urban heat island effects often moderating extremes. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of rapid shifts from an approaching weather system or localized measurement variations at official stations as insufficient to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,655結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 18 will reach approximately 24–25°C under typical summer conditions of high humidity and light southerly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at 25°C. This positioning reflects consistent model agreement on stable atmospheric patterns without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover that could depress readings further. Historical August climatology for the region supports minimums clustered around 23–25°C, with urban heat island effects often moderating extremes. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of rapid shifts from an approaching weather system or localized measurement variations at official stations as insufficient to alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions