Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日開普敦最高溫度？
8月9日開普敦最高溫度？
14°C 43%
13°C 28%
12°C 13%
15°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
43%
15°C
10%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
1%
14°C 43%
13°C 28%
12°C 13%
15°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
8°C或以下
$235 交易量
<1%
9°C
$235 交易量
<1%
10°C
$230 交易量
<1%
11°C
$126 交易量
4%
12°C
$55 交易量
13%
13°C
$91 交易量
28%
14°C
$301 交易量
43%
15°C
$41 交易量
10%
16°C
$113 交易量
5%
17°C
$47 交易量
2%
18°C或更高
$48 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,521結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,521結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions