Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日開普敦最高溫度？
8月8日開普敦最高溫度？
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
16°C 18%
19°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
37%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C或以上
2%
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
16°C 18%
19°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
11°C或以下
$36 交易量
<1%
12°C
$178 交易量
<1%
13°C
$5 交易量
2%
14°C
$234 交易量
3%
15°C
$8 交易量
4%
16°C
$67 交易量
18%
17°C
$13 交易量
38%
18°C
$16 交易量
37%
19°C
$11 交易量
10%
20°C
$23 交易量
2%
21°C或以上
$23 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$615結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$615結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions