**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 6 maximum temperature centers on competing short-range model guidance for peak daytime heating in a humid subtropical environment.** Recent forecasts show daytime highs clustered between 33–35 °C, with 34 °C holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of afternoon sea-breeze convergence, cloud-cover evolution from the East Asian monsoon, and any scattered convective showers that could cap surface temperatures. Models diverge modestly on boundary-layer mixing and incoming solar radiation under partly cloudy skies, producing the tight 33–34 °C bracket split. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 32 °C) provides context, but current atmospheric conditions and the proximity of resolution favor the narrow range reflected in market odds. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine these probabilities before tomorrow’s peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日深圳最高溫度？
8月6日深圳最高溫度？
34°C 41%
33°C 35%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
最新
$50,283 交易量
最新
$50,283 交易量
2026-08-06
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
35%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 35%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
最新
$50,283 交易量
最新
$50,283 交易量
2026-08-06
28°C或以下
$1,435 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,078 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,951 交易量
<1%
31°C
$6,297 交易量
3%
32°C
$2,171 交易量
10%
33°C
$9,790 交易量
35%
34°C
$4,417 交易量
41%
35°C
$10,349 交易量
8%
36°C
$5,376 交易量
3%
37°C
$1,981 交易量
1%
38°C或以上
$3,440 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 6 maximum temperature centers on competing short-range model guidance for peak daytime heating in a humid subtropical environment.** Recent forecasts show daytime highs clustered between 33–35 °C, with 34 °C holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of afternoon sea-breeze convergence, cloud-cover evolution from the East Asian monsoon, and any scattered convective showers that could cap surface temperatures. Models diverge modestly on boundary-layer mixing and incoming solar radiation under partly cloudy skies, producing the tight 33–34 °C bracket split. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 32 °C) provides context, but current atmospheric conditions and the proximity of resolution favor the narrow range reflected in market odds. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine these probabilities before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$50,283結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 6 maximum temperature centers on competing short-range model guidance for peak daytime heating in a humid subtropical environment.** Recent forecasts show daytime highs clustered between 33–35 °C, with 34 °C holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of afternoon sea-breeze convergence, cloud-cover evolution from the East Asian monsoon, and any scattered convective showers that could cap surface temperatures. Models diverge modestly on boundary-layer mixing and incoming solar radiation under partly cloudy skies, producing the tight 33–34 °C bracket split. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 32 °C) provides context, but current atmospheric conditions and the proximity of resolution favor the narrow range reflected in market odds. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine these probabilities before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,283結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 6 maximum temperature centers on competing short-range model guidance for peak daytime heating in a humid subtropical environment.** Recent forecasts show daytime highs clustered between 33–35 °C, with 34 °C holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of afternoon sea-breeze convergence, cloud-cover evolution from the East Asian monsoon, and any scattered convective showers that could cap surface temperatures. Models diverge modestly on boundary-layer mixing and incoming solar radiation under partly cloudy skies, producing the tight 33–34 °C bracket split. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 32 °C) provides context, but current atmospheric conditions and the proximity of resolution favor the narrow range reflected in market odds. Updated guidance from regional numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine these probabilities before tomorrow’s peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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