Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance and station observations near 42°C have anchored trader focus on 38–40°C outcomes for Jeddah’s August 7 maximum, reflecting persistent above-average regional heat. Clear skies and peak solar insolation in mid-summer drive strong diurnal warming, while Red Sea coastal humidity and light northwesterly winds introduce boundary-layer moderation that limits extremes relative to inland sites. Ensemble model spreads arise mainly from small differences in mixing depth and timing of the daily peak, producing the tight clustering around the 38°C (29%) and 39°C (23.5%) levels. Historical August averages near 37–38°C provide context, yet current conditions favor slight elevation above climatology. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日吉達最高溫度?
38°C 29%
39°C 25%
37°C 15%
36°C 12%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
12%
37°C
15%
38°C
29%
39°C
25%
40°C
18%
41°C或更高
4%
38°C 29%
39°C 25%
37°C 15%
36°C 12%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
12%
37°C
15%
38°C
29%
39°C
25%
40°C
18%
41°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance and station observations near 42°C have anchored trader focus on 38–40°C outcomes for Jeddah’s August 7 maximum, reflecting persistent above-average regional heat. Clear skies and peak solar insolation in mid-summer drive strong diurnal warming, while Red Sea coastal humidity and light northwesterly winds introduce boundary-layer moderation that limits extremes relative to inland sites. Ensemble model spreads arise mainly from small differences in mixing depth and timing of the daily peak, producing the tight clustering around the 38°C (29%) and 39°C (23.5%) levels. Historical August averages near 37–38°C provide context, yet current conditions favor slight elevation above climatology. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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