Forecast models from agencies including the KNMI and ECMWF currently favor a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that advects cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting typical early-August conditions after the brief early-month warmth, with limited afternoon insolation and moderate boundary-layer mixing preventing stronger diurnal rises. The narrow spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes stems from minor uncertainties in cloud cover and exact wind direction that could add or subtract 1°C, while the low odds on 24°C+ or sub-20°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or blocking high that would produce outliers. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
23°C 36%
22°C 35%
21°C 10%
20°C 10%
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 36%
22°C 35%
21°C 10%
20°C 10%
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the KNMI and ECMWF currently favor a maximum of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that advects cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting typical early-August conditions after the brief early-month warmth, with limited afternoon insolation and moderate boundary-layer mixing preventing stronger diurnal rises. The narrow spread between the leading 22°C and 23°C outcomes stems from minor uncertainties in cloud cover and exact wind direction that could add or subtract 1°C, while the low odds on 24°C+ or sub-20°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or blocking high that would produce outliers. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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