Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen indicate a tight range of daily maximum temperatures centered on 33–35°C for August 7, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating under high humidity. Current surface observations from August 4–5 show readings near 31–32°C with minimal diurnal cooling, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where urban heat island effects and sea-breeze suppression can add 1–2°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread from minor variations in moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without an unexpected frontal passage or typhoon influence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日深圳最高溫度?
34°C 31%
35°C 31%
33°C 27%
36°C 7%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
27%
34°C
31%
35°C
31%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C或以上
1%
34°C 31%
35°C 31%
33°C 27%
36°C 7%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
27%
34°C
31%
35°C
31%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen indicate a tight range of daily maximum temperatures centered on 33–35°C for August 7, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and promotes strong daytime heating under high humidity. Current surface observations from August 4–5 show readings near 31–32°C with minimal diurnal cooling, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where urban heat island effects and sea-breeze suppression can add 1–2°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread from minor variations in moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without an unexpected frontal passage or typhoon influence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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